Umusesenguzi w’ubwikorezi bw’indege Lars Jensen yavuze ko ibiciro bya Trump 2.0 bishobora gutuma habaho "ingaruka za yo-yo," bivuze ko icyifuzo cyo gutumiza amakontena muri Amerika gishobora guhinduka cyane, kimwe n’igihe cya yo-yo, kikagabanuka cyane muri iki gihembwe kandi kikongera kugaruka mu 2026.
Mu by’ukuri, mu gihe twinjira mu 2025, icyerekezo cy’isoko ry’amakontena bisa nkaho kitari gikurikije "inyandiko" nk’uko abasesenguzi babyiteze muri rusange. Ku bw’amahirwe, imbogamizi ikomeye cyane—ibyago byo kwibasira ibyambu byo ku nkombe y’iburasirazuba—yarakuweho. Ku ya 8 Mutarama, Ishyirahamwe Mpuzamahanga ry’Abakozi ba Longshore (ILA) n’Umuryango w’Abanyamerika ushinzwe iby’inyanja (USMX) batangaje amasezerano y’ibanze. Uko byagenda kose, iyi ni inkuru nziza ku ituze ry’isoko ry’amakontena mu 2025.
Hagati aho, kohereza ubushobozi mu byiciro bitandukanye na Premier Alliance, ubufatanye bwa "Gemini", na sosiyete yigenga yo kohereza ibicuruzwa mu nyanja ya Mediterranean (MSC) mu ntangiriro za Gashyantare bishobora gutuma habaho imvururu z'igihe gito, ariko iyo kohereza ubushobozi birangiye, isoko rihamye kandi ryizewe rishobora kwitegwa mu 2025, ibyo bikaba ari inkuru nziza ku bashinzwe gucunga imiyoboro y'ibicuruzwa.
Ariko, ingaruka za Trump Tariffs 2.0 ziracyakwiye kwitabwaho cyane cyane mu bijyanye n'ubusumbane mu bijyanye n'ibicuruzwa n'ibikenewe ku isoko rya Amerika. Mu by'ukuri, ikibazo cyo gutakaza imisoro cyamaze kugira ingaruka ku isoko, aho bamwe mu batumiza ibicuruzwa muri Amerika "bihutisha ibicuruzwa" mbere yo kugabanya ibyago. Ariko ibizaba mu 2025 na 2026 bizaterwa n'ingano n'ingano y'imisoro izashyirwa mu bikorwa.
Ntibirasobanuka neza ingano n'igihe byagenwe ku misoro ya Trump 2.0. Ariko, niba hashyizweho imisoro ihanitse, ingaruka za yo-yo zizagira uruhare.
Hagati aho, Adam Lewis, perezida w’abahuza ba Clearit muri Amerika, araburira ko Trump asa n’uwashyizeho umutima, kandi ko umuvuduko wo gushyira mu bikorwa ushobora kwihuta cyane kurusha uko byari byitezwe, asaba ko abantu bitegura.
Yaburiye ati: "Ingengabihe yo gushyira mu bikorwa ishobora kuba ibyumweru bike gusa."
Yagaragaje ko Trump ashobora gukoresha amategeko yihariye kugira ngo yihutishe ishyirwa mu bikorwa, akirengagiza ibiganiro birebire byabereye mu Nteko Ishinga Amategeko.
Amategeko yo mu 1977 yemerera perezida wa Amerika kwivanga mu bucuruzi mpuzamahanga nyuma yo gutangaza ko hagiye kubaho ikibazo cy’umutekano mu gihugu kugira ngo hakemurwe ibibazo byose bidasanzwe Amerika ihura nabyo. Ibi byakoreshejwe bwa mbere mu gihe cy’ingwate muri Irani ku butegetsi bwa Carter.
Raporo zigaragaza ko abagize itsinda rya Trump rishinzwe ubukungu barimo kuganira kuri gahunda yo kongera buhoro buhoro imisoro ku kigero cya 2-5% buri kwezi.
Brandon Fried, umuyobozi mukuru w’ishyirahamwe ry’ubwikorezi bw’indege (AfA), na we afite impungenge nk’izo. Yavuze ati: "Ndatekereza ko tugomba gufata cyane ibyo Trump yavuze ku misoro."
Ishami rya AfA rirwanya inzitizi z’imisoro, kuko akenshi ziyongera ibiciro kandi zishobora gutera ibikorwa byo kwihorera bigakomeza kubangamira ubucuruzi. Ariko, yagize ati: "Iyi ni gari ya moshi yihuta, kandi ntabwo byoroshye kuyihunga."
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Igihe cyo kohereza: Mutarama 18-2025
