Inganda: Bitewe n'ingaruka za Amerika, ibiciro by'imizigo y'inyanja byagabanutse

Isesengura ry'inganda ryerekana ko iterambere rigezweho muri politiki y'ubucuruzi bwo muri Amerika ryongeye gushyira iminyururu ku isi muri leta idahungabana, nka Perezida Donald Trump yateje guhungabana no gushidikanya ku bucuruzi bukorera muri Amerika ya Ruguru.

Ubu buryo budashidikanywaho bwageze ku karorero k'ibicuruzwa byo mu nyanja, kandi nk'uko byatangajwe na baltic baltique ya Baltic, umubare w'imizigo y'imizindo yaguye mu bubabare bw'igihe gito mu ntangiriro z'umwaka.

Itangazo ryambere rya 25% ku bicuruzwa byose byatumijwe mu mahanga byatumijwe muri Amerika kuva muri Mexico na Kanada byagize ingaruka mbi ku nganda za logistique. Icyakora, mu minsi mike, guverinoma yatanze icyemezo cy'ukwezi kumwe mu masezerano y'imodoka ikubiye amasezerano y'imodoka yatunganijwe na Leta zunze ubumwe za Amerika, byaje kwagurwa ku bicuruzwa byose byatumijwe mu masezerano. Ibi bigira ingaruka kuri 50% byinjiza muri Kanada na 38% byibicuruzwa bitumizwa muri Mexico, birimo ibicuruzwa, ibiryo n'ibicuruzwa, ndetse n'ibicuruzwa byinshi by'amashanyarazi n'ibicuruzwa.

Ibicuruzwa bisigaye byatumijwe bigizwe na miliyari 1 z'amadolari ku munsi ubu bareba ubwiyongere bwa 25%. Iki cyiciro gikubiyemo ibicuruzwa byinshi byaturutse kuri terefone, mudasobwa kubikoresho byubuvuzi. Guhagarika gutunguranye no guhagarika igice cyakurikiyeho byavuyemo guhungabana ku buryo bukomeye bwo gutwara abantu no kwambukiranya imipaka no mu modoka z'ubutaka kuva muri Mexico na Kanada.

Yuda Legine, umuyobozi ushinzwe ubushakashatsi kuri Freightos, yanditse muri raporo yashyizwe ahagaragara amakuru agezweho ko iyi nama iheruka kubona atari ibyabaye, ariko igice cyagutse cya Trump cyo gukoresha intego zinyuranye mu rwego rwo kugera ku ntego zitandukanye. Muri uru rubanza, intego zatangajwe harimo gukemura ibibazo by'umutekano y'umutekano no gukumira imigezi ya Fentanyl na Bitemewe. Icyakora, raporo zimwe zivuga ko ibi bitewe n'abakora imodoka bisezeranya kugira ngo bahindure umusaruro ukomoka muri Kanada na Mexico muri Amerika

Levin yavuze ko gushidikanya byazanywe n'izi mpinduka za politiki byihuse bituma igenamigambi no guhindura abatware bigoye cyane. Ibigo byinshi byemeza gutegereza-no kubona imyifatire mbere yo kwiyemeza cyane muminyururu yabo. Icyakora, iterabwoba ryo kwiyongera ryateganijwe, cyane cyane ku bicuruzwa byatumijwe mu Bushinwa n'abandi bafatanyabikorwa ba Amerika, byatumye bamwe mu bafatanyabikorwa bo mu mahanga, basabye bamwe batumizwa mu bwato mbere yuko gahunda yohereza gahunda kuva gahunda yo kohereza mu Gushyingo, kuzamura ibiciro byo kohereza.

Amakuru aheruka muri federasiyo yo gucuruza yigihugu yerekana ko kuva mu Gushyingo umwaka ushize muri Gashyantare uyu mwaka, imizigo y'inyanja yo muri Amerika yiyongereyeho hafi 12%, yerekana ingaruka zikomeye zo gutwara. Nubwo biteganijwe ko ubudozi bwo mu gaciro buzakomeza gukomera muri Gicurasi yose, biteganijwe ko umubumbe w'imizigo muri Kamena na Nyakanga azacogora, byerekana ko intege nke z'igihe kirekire kubera ko igihe cyagenwe.

Ingaruka z'iyi politiki yubucuruzi nazo zigaragara mubiciro byimiziririzo. Nyuma yumwaka mushya, Trans Trans Pasifika Ibiciro byagabanutseho, hamwe nigiciro cyitwaraho imizigo ku nkombe ya 2660 kumadorari 40 kumaguru agera kuri $ 3754 kuri Feu. Ugereranije numwaka ushize, iyi mibare yagabanutseho 40% kandi iri kuri cyangwa munsi yayo munsi ya 2024 ingingo yo hasi nyuma yumwaka mushya.
Mu buryo nk'ubwo, mu byumweru bishize, ibiciro by'inyanja bya Aziya y'Uburayi ubucuruzi nabwo bwaguye munsi y'umwaka ushize.

Igipimo cya Nordic cardic cyiyongereyeho 3% kugeza $ 3064 kuri feu. Igiciro cya Aziya Mediterane kiguma ku rwego rwa $ 4159 kuri Feu.

Nubwo kuzenguruka igipimo rusange mu ntangiriro za Werurwe byagabanutse kandi bigasunikwa ibiciro by'amadolari make, ubwiyongere bwari kure y'amadolari 1000 yiyongera. Ibiciro mu karere ka Aziya Mediterranean byarahagaze kandi bihwanye n'ibyabaye mu mwaka hashize.

Levin yavuze ko intege nke ziheruka mu kabari, cyane cyane ku nzira yo mu mbaraga, irashobora kuba ibisubizo by'ibintu byinshi bikorera hamwe. Ibi birimo gukandamizwa nyuma yumunsi wimpeshyi, hamwe nibikorwa byo kuvugurura abashinzwe ibikorwa, bikaba byateje amarushanwa akomeye kandi bigabanuka mubushobozi bwo gucunga ubushobozi nkabatwara ubutumwa bushya.

Hamwe n'inganda zireba gushidikanya, igihe ntarengwa cy'ingenzi kirageze. Ibi birimo iburanisha ry'abakozi b'Ubucuruzi ry'Ubucuruzi ku ya 24 Werurwe, rizafata icyemezo ku birego by'icyambu byateganijwe; Nk'uko byatangajwe n '"Amerika ya mbere mu bucuruzi", igihe ntarengwa cyo gutanga raporo ku bibazo bitandukanye by'ubucuruzi ni 1 Mata, mu gihe ntarengwa cyo gutanga igiciro cya 25% ku bicuruzwa bya USMCA ni Mata ya 2 Mata.